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Rob Wiblin

Host and Editor at 80000 Hours

Created monologues and videos for 80,000 Hours, including popular content on AI timelines with over 150,000 YouTube views.

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Feb 2026 — Oct 2026
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What the Hell Happened With AGI Timelines in 2025?
80000 HoursanalysisneutralFeb 11, 2026

AGI timeline forecasts swung dramatically from short timelines following OpenAI's o1/o3 reasoning models in early 2025 to extended timelines by mid-2025, driven by unexpected research developments rather than sentiment shifts alone.

“Author of "What the Hell Happened With AGI Timelines in 2025?" in 80000 Hours”

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Half-year update: Q1–Q2 2026
80,000 HoursmixedOct 13, 2026

“Created monologues and videos for 80,000 Hours, including popular content on AI timelines with over 150,000 YouTube views.”