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Barb Mellers

Good Judgment Project

Author of "Good Judgment Project" in Good Judgment Project

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Good Judgment Project
Good Judgment ProjectresearchpositiveOct 8, 2025

Superforecasters outperform LLMs by 19% and achieve superior accuracy through noise reduction (50%), information improvement (25%), and bias reduction (25%), with team-based forecasting exceeding individual or prediction market performance.

“Author of "Good Judgment Project" in Good Judgment Project”

AI ResearchForecastingDecision MakingAI vs Human Intelligence